Copies of major publications can be found on prior pages, but select key publications are also available for download below (unless otherwise noted).
Please feel free to email for additional items on my CV not listed here.
Books and Edited Collections
2020. "SPECIAL ISSUE: The Legacies of NATO Enlargement," with James Goldgeier. International Politics (guest editor, with James Goldgeier)
2018. Rising Titans, Falling Giants: How Great Powers Exploit Power Shifts (Ithaca: Cornell UP) (link to Amazon).
Peer-Reviewed Articles & Monographs
2020. "To Partner or Prey? Rising States and the Management of Declining Great Powers." International Security 45, no. 1 (Summer 2020), 90-126 (email for copy).
2020. "Evaluating NATO Enlargement: Scholarly Debates, Policy Implications, and Roads Not Taken," with James Goldgeier. International Politics.
2020. "Eastbound and Down: The United States, NATO Enlargement, and Suppressing the Soviet and Western European Alternatives, 1990-1992." Journal of Strategic Studies, pp. 1-30.
2020. "NATO Enlargement and U.S. Foreign Policy: The Origins, Durability, and Impact of an Idea." International Politics, pp. 1-29.
2020. "The Rise of China, Balance of Power Theory, and U.S. National Security: Reasons for Optimism?" Journal of Strategic Studies 43, no. 2, pp. 175-216.
2019. "The Shadow of Exit from NATO," with John Schuessler. Strategic Studies Quarterly 13, no. 3, pp. 38-51.
2019. "Security in Northeast Asia: Structuring a Settlement," Strategic Studies Quarterly 13, no. 2, pp. 23-47 (featured article).
2019. "How Long Until Midnight? U.S. Intelligence on the Israeli Nuclear Program, 1960-1985," with Austin Long. Journal of Strategic Studies 42, no. 1 (Winter 2019), pp. 55-90.
2016. "Deal or No Deal? The End of the Cold War and the U.S. Offer to Limit NATO Enlargement," International Security 40, no. 4, pp. 7-44 (lead article).
2013. "The Malta Summit and U.S.-Soviet Relations: Testing the Water Amidst Stormy Seas," Cold War International History Project e-Dossier 40.
2011. "A Crude Threat: The Limits of an Iranian Missile Campaign Against Saudi Arabian Oil," with Miranda Priebe. International Security 36, no. 1, pp. 167-201.
Chapters in Edited Volumes
* indicates peer-reviewed volume
Forthcoming. "Keeping Them Well Behind: The United States, the Soviet Union, and the Shape of European Security at Cold War’s End” in Before and After the Fall: World Politics and the End of the Cold War, ed. Nuno Monteiro and Fritz Bartels (Cambridge University Press)*
Forthcoming. "The United States and NATO after the End of the Cold War: Explaining and Evaluating Enlargement and Its Alternatives,” with Jim Goldgeier in Before and After the Fall: World Politics and the End of the Cold War, ed. Nuno Monteiro and Fritz Bartels (Cambridge University Press)* (email for copy)
Forthcoming. “Realism and Peaceful Change: A Structural and Neoclassical Realist First Cut,” in The Oxford Handbook on Peaceful Change in International Relations, ed. T.V. Paul, Deborah Welch Larson, Harold Trinkunas, Anders Wivel, and Ralf Emmers (Oxford University Press) (email for copy)
Forthcoming. "Europe and Asia in U.S. Grand Strategy” in US-China-Europe Relations in a New Era, ed. Oystein Tunsjo (Routledge)*
Forthcoming. "Rising to the Occasion, or Falling Upwards? Researching Rising State Grand Strategy,” in The Oxford Handbook of Grand Strategy, ed. Ron Krebs and Thierry Balzacq (Oxford University Press)
Forthcoming. “Adjusting to Rise and Coping with Decline: The U.S.-China Relationship in Historical and Theoretical Context,” in Coping with Decline, ed. Frederic Merand (McGill-Queen’s University Press)* (email for copy)
2019. "Linkage Politics: Managing the End of the Cold War,” in Cross-Domain Deterrence: Strategic Responses to Complex Threats, ed. Eric Gartzke and Jon Lindsay (Oxford University Press)*
2018. "It's a Trap! Allies, Power Shifts, and Entrapment,” with David Edelstein in The Case for Restraint in U.S. Foreign Policy, ed. Ben Friedman and Trevor Thrall (Routledge)
2014. "It’s a Commons Misunderstanding: The Limited Threat to American Command of the Commons,” with Sameer Lalwani in Dangerous World? Threat Perception and U.S. National Security, ed. John Mueller and Chris Preble (Cato Institute)
Non-Peer Reviewed Articles
2019. "Should the United States Fear China’s Rise?” The Washington Quarterly 41, no. 4, pp. 65-83.
2018. "Sound and Fury, Signifying Something? NATO and the Trump Administration’s Second Year,” H-Diplo/ISSF Policy Series: America and World – 2017 and Beyond 1, no. 5.
2018. "George H.W. Bush as Conservative Realist" Orbis 62, no. 1, pp. 56-75.
2018. "Trump’s National Security Strategy: A Critic’s Dream," with Emma Ashford. Texas National Security Review 1, no. 2, pp. 138-144.
2017. "Trump and NATO: Old Wine in Gold Bottles?” H-Diplo/ISSF Series: Trump and the World.
2017. "Time to Consolidate NATO?" The Washington Quarterly 40, no. 1, pp. 109-123.
Select Additional Scholarly Writing
2019. "The Fall of the Berlin Wall Almost Ended in War,” Foreign Affairs (Snapshot).
2019. "The ‘New Cold War’ with China is Way Overblown. Here’s Why,” The Monkey Cage/Washington Post.
2018. "George H.W. Bush: American Radical,” War on the Rocks Commentary.
2018. "Learning to Love Kim’s Bomb: The Upside of a Nuclear North Korea,” Foreign Affairs (Snapshot).
2017. "Correspondence: NATO Enlargement – Was There a Promise," with Mark Kramer, International Security 42, no. 1, pp. 186-192.
2017. "Correspondence: NATO Non-Expansion and German Reunification," with Richard Maass. International Security 41, no. 3, pp. 197-200.
2014. "Put It In Writing: How the West Broke Its Promise to Moscow,” Foreign Affairs (Snapshot).
2013. "Correspondence: Debating Decline,” with Michael Beckley. International Security 37, no. 3, pp. 172-177.
Select Policy Reports and Commentary
2020. "How Donald Trump Should Handle China’s Growing Power," The National Interest.
2019. "Requiem for a Dream: American Grand Strategy, 1991-2008,” in New Voices in Grand Strategy (Washington: Center for a New American Security, 2019), ed. Loren Schulman, pp. 71-84.
2017. "Trump, NATO, and Establishment Hysteria," with Ben Friedman. War on the Rocks.
2016. "Russia’s Got a Point: The U.S. Broke a NATO Promise." Los Angeles Times.
Please feel free to email for additional items on my CV not listed here.
Books and Edited Collections
2020. "SPECIAL ISSUE: The Legacies of NATO Enlargement," with James Goldgeier. International Politics (guest editor, with James Goldgeier)
2018. Rising Titans, Falling Giants: How Great Powers Exploit Power Shifts (Ithaca: Cornell UP) (link to Amazon).
Peer-Reviewed Articles & Monographs
2020. "To Partner or Prey? Rising States and the Management of Declining Great Powers." International Security 45, no. 1 (Summer 2020), 90-126 (email for copy).
2020. "Evaluating NATO Enlargement: Scholarly Debates, Policy Implications, and Roads Not Taken," with James Goldgeier. International Politics.
2020. "Eastbound and Down: The United States, NATO Enlargement, and Suppressing the Soviet and Western European Alternatives, 1990-1992." Journal of Strategic Studies, pp. 1-30.
2020. "NATO Enlargement and U.S. Foreign Policy: The Origins, Durability, and Impact of an Idea." International Politics, pp. 1-29.
2020. "The Rise of China, Balance of Power Theory, and U.S. National Security: Reasons for Optimism?" Journal of Strategic Studies 43, no. 2, pp. 175-216.
2019. "The Shadow of Exit from NATO," with John Schuessler. Strategic Studies Quarterly 13, no. 3, pp. 38-51.
2019. "Security in Northeast Asia: Structuring a Settlement," Strategic Studies Quarterly 13, no. 2, pp. 23-47 (featured article).
2019. "How Long Until Midnight? U.S. Intelligence on the Israeli Nuclear Program, 1960-1985," with Austin Long. Journal of Strategic Studies 42, no. 1 (Winter 2019), pp. 55-90.
2016. "Deal or No Deal? The End of the Cold War and the U.S. Offer to Limit NATO Enlargement," International Security 40, no. 4, pp. 7-44 (lead article).
2013. "The Malta Summit and U.S.-Soviet Relations: Testing the Water Amidst Stormy Seas," Cold War International History Project e-Dossier 40.
2011. "A Crude Threat: The Limits of an Iranian Missile Campaign Against Saudi Arabian Oil," with Miranda Priebe. International Security 36, no. 1, pp. 167-201.
Chapters in Edited Volumes
* indicates peer-reviewed volume
Forthcoming. "Keeping Them Well Behind: The United States, the Soviet Union, and the Shape of European Security at Cold War’s End” in Before and After the Fall: World Politics and the End of the Cold War, ed. Nuno Monteiro and Fritz Bartels (Cambridge University Press)*
Forthcoming. "The United States and NATO after the End of the Cold War: Explaining and Evaluating Enlargement and Its Alternatives,” with Jim Goldgeier in Before and After the Fall: World Politics and the End of the Cold War, ed. Nuno Monteiro and Fritz Bartels (Cambridge University Press)* (email for copy)
Forthcoming. “Realism and Peaceful Change: A Structural and Neoclassical Realist First Cut,” in The Oxford Handbook on Peaceful Change in International Relations, ed. T.V. Paul, Deborah Welch Larson, Harold Trinkunas, Anders Wivel, and Ralf Emmers (Oxford University Press) (email for copy)
Forthcoming. "Europe and Asia in U.S. Grand Strategy” in US-China-Europe Relations in a New Era, ed. Oystein Tunsjo (Routledge)*
Forthcoming. "Rising to the Occasion, or Falling Upwards? Researching Rising State Grand Strategy,” in The Oxford Handbook of Grand Strategy, ed. Ron Krebs and Thierry Balzacq (Oxford University Press)
Forthcoming. “Adjusting to Rise and Coping with Decline: The U.S.-China Relationship in Historical and Theoretical Context,” in Coping with Decline, ed. Frederic Merand (McGill-Queen’s University Press)* (email for copy)
2019. "Linkage Politics: Managing the End of the Cold War,” in Cross-Domain Deterrence: Strategic Responses to Complex Threats, ed. Eric Gartzke and Jon Lindsay (Oxford University Press)*
2018. "It's a Trap! Allies, Power Shifts, and Entrapment,” with David Edelstein in The Case for Restraint in U.S. Foreign Policy, ed. Ben Friedman and Trevor Thrall (Routledge)
2014. "It’s a Commons Misunderstanding: The Limited Threat to American Command of the Commons,” with Sameer Lalwani in Dangerous World? Threat Perception and U.S. National Security, ed. John Mueller and Chris Preble (Cato Institute)
Non-Peer Reviewed Articles
2019. "Should the United States Fear China’s Rise?” The Washington Quarterly 41, no. 4, pp. 65-83.
2018. "Sound and Fury, Signifying Something? NATO and the Trump Administration’s Second Year,” H-Diplo/ISSF Policy Series: America and World – 2017 and Beyond 1, no. 5.
2018. "George H.W. Bush as Conservative Realist" Orbis 62, no. 1, pp. 56-75.
2018. "Trump’s National Security Strategy: A Critic’s Dream," with Emma Ashford. Texas National Security Review 1, no. 2, pp. 138-144.
2017. "Trump and NATO: Old Wine in Gold Bottles?” H-Diplo/ISSF Series: Trump and the World.
2017. "Time to Consolidate NATO?" The Washington Quarterly 40, no. 1, pp. 109-123.
Select Additional Scholarly Writing
2019. "The Fall of the Berlin Wall Almost Ended in War,” Foreign Affairs (Snapshot).
2019. "The ‘New Cold War’ with China is Way Overblown. Here’s Why,” The Monkey Cage/Washington Post.
2018. "George H.W. Bush: American Radical,” War on the Rocks Commentary.
2018. "Learning to Love Kim’s Bomb: The Upside of a Nuclear North Korea,” Foreign Affairs (Snapshot).
2017. "Correspondence: NATO Enlargement – Was There a Promise," with Mark Kramer, International Security 42, no. 1, pp. 186-192.
2017. "Correspondence: NATO Non-Expansion and German Reunification," with Richard Maass. International Security 41, no. 3, pp. 197-200.
2014. "Put It In Writing: How the West Broke Its Promise to Moscow,” Foreign Affairs (Snapshot).
2013. "Correspondence: Debating Decline,” with Michael Beckley. International Security 37, no. 3, pp. 172-177.
Select Policy Reports and Commentary
2020. "How Donald Trump Should Handle China’s Growing Power," The National Interest.
2019. "Requiem for a Dream: American Grand Strategy, 1991-2008,” in New Voices in Grand Strategy (Washington: Center for a New American Security, 2019), ed. Loren Schulman, pp. 71-84.
2017. "Trump, NATO, and Establishment Hysteria," with Ben Friedman. War on the Rocks.
2016. "Russia’s Got a Point: The U.S. Broke a NATO Promise." Los Angeles Times.
